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As Costco's Q1 Earnings Approach, Let's Understand The Mindset Of Its ShareholdersOpenAI's controversial Sora is finally launching today. Will it truly disrupt Hollywood?Over the years, Warren Buffett has suggested that investors that don't have time to do investment research should just invest in a fund that tracks the S&P 500 Index. It is a stock market index that is home to 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is considered to be one of the most important benchmarks for the overall health of the U.S. stock market and its economy. Unlike the extremely popular Nasdaq index, which is predominantly tech-focused, the S&P 500 Index gives investors exposure to a wide range of sectors including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods. This arguably makes it the best place to invest for the ultra long term because while the ( ) is home to many of the highest quality companies in the world, the S&P 500 Index includes them and more. This means that if the technology sector goes through a poor period, which would cause the Nasdaq to underperform, there are other sides of the market included in the index to pick up the slack. It is for this reason that some days you will see the Nasdaq index drop but the S&P 500 Index rise. But has it been a good idea for Aussie investors to put their money into an ASX S&P 500 Index Fund over the past five years or should they have stuck to the ASX 200 index? Let's have a look at how one popular ASX ETF that tracks the index has performed. Was it a good idea to invest in the ASX S&P 500 Index Fund five years ago? Five years ago, I could have bought the ( ) for $30.70 per unit. This means that if I had $5,000 (and a further $4.10) to invest, I would have ended up owning 163 units. On Friday, this popular ASX ETF closed the session at $61.01. This means that my 163 units would now have a market value of $9,944.63, which is almost double what I started with. But wait, there's more! The iShares S&P 500 ETF pays every quarter. Over the past five years, the fund has paid out total dividends of $4.971 per unit. This would have pulled in total dividend income of approximately $810. If I add this to my capital gains, I have a total return of $5,750.53 from my original investment. This is a return in the region of 115%, which is well ahead of what the ASX 200 index has achieved over the same period.

Giannis Antetokounmpo returns for Bucks after missing 1 game with knee swellingStrategists have warned of the dangers of historically high stock valuations. Yet, UBS argues lofty prices are justified and will climb higher next year. Analysts point to improved cash flows and lower discount rates. Stock market valuations are looking stretched as 2024 winds down, and it's got some market watchers on edge — but investors shouldn't fear, UBS says, as prices are justified and set to keep climbing. At 22.2x, the S&P 500's forward price-to-earnings ratio is far above its average of 16.8x over the last 30 years, and close to its 25.0x record high reached during the dot-com bubble in 1999. Strategists have warned that such stretched valuations mean stocks are due for a correction and are at risk of a painful decline in the event of even mild disruptions. Analysts at UBS, though, argued such elevated stock valuations are justified—and will climb higher next year—in a note this week titled "22x and Beyond: The Case for Higher Valuations, or How to Worry Less and Love the Market." The strategists, led by Jonathan Golub, pointed first to the tech sector's growing dominance in the S&P 500. Around 30 years ago, before the rise of the internet and long before the smartphone, tech-related companies made up just 10% of the S&P 500's market cap. Now, they account for 40%. At the same time, tech firms have grown their top lines quicker and with higher margins, with sales growth surging almost 11% and margins up 24%, compared to 6% sales growth and 13% margin growth for non-tech stocks. "The result—not surprisingly—is an upward short in valuations for the market broadly," they said in a Monday note. Meanwhile, both tech and non-tech stocks have seen improved cash flows as they become less capital-intensive, the analysts said. The greater cash flows return more to shareholders, helping stocks naturally trade at higher price-to-earnings ratios, they added. They also pointed to lower discount rates, with the current 10-year Treasury yield 40 basis points above its long-term average, while credit spreads are 220 basis points lower. Together, that makes for a 20% decrease in the cost of capital versus the historical average, which helps to explain part of the reason for such high valuations, the analysts said. Lastly, they noted that valuations rise in non-recessionary periods, meaning valuations will likely continue their upward trend next year. "With current recession risks contained, multiples are most likely to drift higher in 2025," they said. The firm's analysis comes as S&P 500's bull rally has pushed the benchmark index up 28% in 2024, as tech stocks boom and the economy remains on solid footing. The stock rally saw a fresh catalyst last month with Donald Trump 's reelection, which has fueled hopes of sustained earnings growth as a result of less regulation and lower taxes.

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